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BayOfPigsOfficialCIAHistory
Page 179
179 / 232
FH Reel
of the militia. No definitive conclusions can be advanced
but it must be remembered that the majority of the militia
are not fighters by instinct or packground and are ‘not
militiamen by their ow choige. Their training has been
slight and they have never been exposed to actual fire
(particularly any heavy fire power) nor to air attack.
Moreover, the instabilities within Cuba are such that if . -
XN
_ the tide shifts against. the regime, the chances are strong
that substantial numbers will desert: or: change sides, ©
-b. There is no doubt that the paramilitary ‘foree.would
be widely assumed to be U. S. supported. Nevertheless, this
conclusion would be difficult to prove and the scale of its
activity would not be inconsistent with the potentialities
for support by private Cuban and American groups rather than
by the U. S. Government. It must be emphasiked> moreover,”
that this enterprise would have nothing in common (as would
the use of U. S. military forces) with the Russian suppression .
of Hungary or the Chinese suppression of the Tibetans. This
would be a force of dissident Cubans with Cuban political and
military leadership.
ce. There would be adverse political repercussions to a
landing in force but it is not clear how serious these would
be. Most Latin American Governments would at least privately
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