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BayOfPigsOfficialCIAHistory
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withdrawal of all practical support. In view of the breadth
of the political spectrum involved, this will cause some
difficulties for the future since it is hard to imagine any
acceptable post-Castro leadership that will not include some
of the exiles dealt with during the past year.
9. CONCLUSIONS:
&. Castro's position is daily getting stronger and will
soon be consolidated to the point that his oyerthrow will only’
be possible by drastic, politically undesirable actions such |
as an all-out embargo or an overt use of military force. - |
b. .A failure to remove Castro by external action will
lead in the near future to the elimination of all internal and
external. Cuban opposition of any effective nature. Moreover,
the continuance of the Castro regime will be a substantial
victory for the Sino-Sovyiet Bloc which will use Cuba as a base
for increased activity throughout the Western ‘Hemisphere,
thereby accentuating political instability and weakening U. S.
prestige and influence.
c. The Cuban paramilitary force, if used, has a good
chance of overthrowing Castro or at the very least causing a
damaging civil war without requiring the U..S. to commit
itself to overt action against Cuba. Whatever embarrassment
the alleged. (though dentable) U..S. support may cause, it
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