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9. J.A.M. [McConej, Memorandum, “Proposed Plan of Action for Cuba,” 2] August 1962 foriginally attached to Document 8: August 21, ; MEMORANDUM: i i : : Proposed plan of action for Cuba in the light of: ad H . (a} The arrivai of four to five thousand Soviet/Bloc tech- micians and possibly military personnel during July-August, {b}) Arzival of many ship loads of equipment and materiel Curing July and August. (c) The conclusion that stepped up plan (b) will not, in the opinion of the National Board of Estimates, accomplish the stated purpose of overthrowing Castro from within, and moreover will be attributable to the United States and cause loss of face by the United States, and (d} Modified plan (b) will contribute importantly to our intelligence gathering and will impede Castro regime's economic progress but will not be sufficient to frustrate the regime's progress in view of the evidences of substantial Soviet technical assistance. The above all lead to the conclusion that with the passage of time, it is possible there will evolve in Cuba a stronger rather than a weaker Castro dominated communist state, fully oriented to Moscow, to serve on the one hand as a model for similar actions by disciplined groups throughout Latin America, and on the other as a : : bridgehead for Soviet subversive activities in Central and South America. Being dominated by Moscow, such a Cuba would also aerve as a possible location for MRBMs, for COMINT and ELINT facilities targetted against United States activities, most particularly Canaveral, and finally as an ECM station which might adversely actiect our space and missile work. Therefore it Seems to me a more agg zessive action is incicated than any heretofore considered, and should be patterned along the following lines: 31