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CONFIDENTIAL P T, A S H CYPHER/CAT A FM KAMPALA O7O6O5Z CONFIDENTIAL TO FLASH FCO TELEGRAM NO 122 OF 07 JUNE INFO IMMEDIATE LAGOS NAIROBI MY TEL NO 120 CHGH YOU WILL BE AWARE FROM. TRANSCRIPT OF LAST NIGHT'S RADIO UGANDA ANNOUNCEMENT THAT AM IN PROPOSES TO LEAVE UGANDA TODAY TO ATTEND CHGM. THE PROPOSAL TO ARRIVE BY BOAT PRESUPPOSES A GRANT OF A LANDING RIGHTS EITHER IN ADVANCE OR IN QUOTE AN EMERGENCY UNQUOTE BY GOVERNMENT OF NEIGHBOURING COUNTRY (EG IRELAND OR CONTINENT). - A LANDING BY SEA COULD PRESUMABLY BE EITHER LEGAL OR ILLEGAL, BUT EITHER WAY, SUCH A MOVE WOULD NOT BE IN AMlN'S STYLE.-NOR IS THE ANNOUNCEMENT OF AN ABSENCE FROM UGANDA IN ADVANCE. 2. THE FRENCH AMBASSADOR WAS LAST MIGHT TOLD BY NIGERIAN HIGH COMMISSIONER THAT LATTER'S VISITING MISSION LEFT KAMPALA UNDER THE IMPRESSiOM THAT AMIN WOULD NOT (NOT) ATTEND, HAVING COME HERE TO DISSUADE HIM FROM DO I ,IG SO? HOWEVER, THEY RECEIVED NO ASSURANCES. NONETHELESS, DESPITE THE UNPREDICTABILITY OF THE SITUATION, OUR FEELING, BACKED. BY INFORMED OPINION HERE, IS THAT AMIN WILL NOT GO AND THAT LAST NIGHT'S ANNOUNCEMENT WAS A FINAL PRE-CHGM ATTEMPT TO EMBARRASS HMG. ACCORDINGLY, WE WOULD RECOMMEND THAT ANY MINISTERIAL STATEMENT TO THE HOUSE SHOULD BE BELAYED AS LONG AS POSSIBLE, CONFIDENTIAL /?•