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I IML 5. I THINK THAT TANZANIA WOULD PROBABLY PREFER NOT TO PUT THE AFRICAN DRAFT TO THE VOTE AND SEE IT FAIL FOR LACK OF MINE POSITIVE VOTES. BUT LIBYA (WITH SOVIET ENCOURAGEMENT) MIGHT RATHER PRESS THE HATTER TO A VOTE, WHATEVER THE LIKELY RESULT. 6. I DO NOT THINK IT WOULD B£.A BAD OUTCOME TO THE DEBATE IF THERE WERE TO BE NO VOTE ON EITHER DRAFT. BUT GOVERNOR SCRAMTON HAS TOLD US THIS MORNING THAT HIS STRONG PREFERENCE WOULD BE TO ASK FOR A VOTE ON OUR RESOLUTION. MY INCLINATION IS TO GO ALOMG WITH HIM. IF YOU PREFER MOT TO DO SO, GIVEN THE SITUATION IN KAMPALA, I THINK IT WOULD BE NECESSARY TO TELL THE STATE DEPARTMENT WHY URGENTLY. 7. IF THE AFRICANS DO PRESS THEIR DRAFT TO A VOTE, I STRONGLY RECOMMEND THAT WE SHOULD VOTE AGAINST IT IN COMPANY WITH THE UNITED STATES. IT IS NOT FOR ME TO ASSESS THE LIKELY REACTION IN UGANDA, NOR IN ISRAEL (TEL AVIV TELNO 229). BUT I BELIEVE THAT A BRITISH ABSTENTION WHICH LEFT THE AMERICANS VOTING ALONE AGAINST THE AFRICAN DRAFT WOULD BE BADLY RECEIVED IN THE UNITED STATES. THEY WOULD, IN MY VIEW, JUSTIFIABLY REPROACH US FOR BEING QUITTERS HALF-WAY DOWN THE LINE. THE PRESENT AFRICAN DRAFT IS JUST ABOUT AS OBJECTIONABLE AS THE FIRST ONE, CONDEMN ING AS IT DOES * ISRAEL'? FLAGRANT "VIOLATION OF UGANDA'S SOVEREIGNTY" AND TERRITORIAL INTEGRITY AMD DEMANDING COMPENSATION FROM ISRAEL. I THINK THAT A BRITISH ABSTENTION WOULD BE SEEM BY MANY AT ' THE UNITED NATIONS AS EVIDENCE THAT AMIR'S BLATANT BLACKMAIL PAID. THE AFRICANS WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED BY A BRITISH NEGATIVE VOTE. FEW OF THE AFRICANS LIKE AMIN'S METHODS. AND KENYA'S OPPOSITION TO UGANDA HAS STRENGTHENED OUR TACTICAL POSITION HERE. A NEGATIVE VOTE AGAINST 8 IN FAVOUR WOULD HOT OF COURSE, CONSTITUTE h VETO* THE AFRICAN DRAFT WOULD HAVE FAILED FOR A LACK OF THE NECESSARY 9 VOTES. BUT WE WOOULD HAVE HADE OUR POSITION QUITE CLEAR. 8.. IF THE AFRICANS DO AMEND THEIR DRAFT FURTHER TO OBTAIN JAPAN'S CR PANAMA'S VOTE (E.G. BY ADDING A CONDEMNATION OF HIGHJACKING IN GENERAL), THEN I WOULD LIKE TO CONSIDER THE MATTER FURTHER, rv^sucinirMT! AI