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State Department UAP Cable 5, Mexico, September 16, 2003
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UNCLASSIFIED
process, alleging irregularities. On September 10, Sonora Governor and MORENA
National Council President Alfonso Durazo formally certified the results of the
party's selection process; while Durazo indicated he would continue to examine
Ebrard's complaints, he also indicated he did not assess that the end results
would change in light of Ebrard's allegations. Ebrard said he expected the
MORENA Honesty and Justice Committee (responsible for solving intra-party
conflicts) to hear his challenge, but also added he would "not be interested in
remaining in MORENA" if the party rejected his allegations. He announced he
would travel across the country starting September 18 to meet with supporters
and formalize the creation of a new national political movement. Some outlets
reported Ebrard created a new political party, but electoral laws would not allow
this until 2026.
3. ~
Comment: Having moved on from its contender selection process,
MORENA is unlikely to validate any of Ebrard's challenges and therefore his
options seem limited: he could join Citizen's Movement (MC) as its presidential
candidate (despite some strong opposition within MC, especially from the party's
Jalisco wing), remain with and create a new "Ebrardista current" within MORENA,
or join the opposition Broad Front alliance. He cannot form a new party in time
for the June 2024 elections, and the last day to register as an independent
candidate (September 8) came and went without his taking action. His latest
statements and attacks on MORENA's leadership however, increasingly make it
impossible for him to remain in the party: the party has certified Sheinbaum as its
candidate, Sheinbaum has embarked on a nationwide tour, and there is no sign
whatsoever that there will be a do-over of the poll, as Ebrard desires. Ebrard
retains the support of dozens of MORENA and allied party legislators, but even
they seem reluctant to leave the party, which limits his leverage. End comment.
fS8¼:ij INE Names Commission Members Ahead of 2024 Election
4. ~
The INE council approved the designation of presidents and members of
key INE commissions September 9 who will oversee the 2024 elections. After a
contentious session where some councilors seemed at odds on the designations
(pro-MORENA councilors opposing anti-MORENA councilors, according to
analysts), INE agreed on the makeup of the commissions that will be in place until
September 2024. Analysts considered the designations a defeat for MORENA
because, although its bloc obtained the presidency of key commissions (for
IReleased in Fulll
UNCLASSIFIED
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