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34323 P.04/05 NOV-07-2000 14:13 DIGNITARY PROTECTION 7033123323 SENSITIVE BUT UNCLASSIFIE -2- Y DOMESTIC ASSESSMENT THREAT RATING CRITERIA LOW: No evidence of capability, intent, or credible threats against ut satatttoey dtaewotdtp uedtagy yanos no/pue tedtougad aya the United states over the past two years.. Demonstrations/Harassment The principal and/or South African facilities has been targeted with minimal or no significant demonstration and or harassment activity over the 'last two years. DOMESTIC ASSESSMENT The threat level for the visit of former President Nelson Jo atemeun Atauaaans st yui/ssd *mot se passasse st etapuen any intelligence information to suggest that a current, specific threat exists against the former president in conjunction with his forthcoming visit te the United States. In past years, South Africa's turbulent political situation generated a substantial amount of anti-South African government activity in the United States. During 1992-1994, ueatagy yanos asugebe suotaeaasuowap ht yaao paptoaar yii/ssd diplomatic facilities or.visiting dignitaries. Issues Phayanede s.Aaaunon aya papnddut sasaaoad ason? butyneds policies, the conviction of Winnie Mandela in South Africa, and U.$. visits by Nelson Mandela. In addition to demonstration activity, South African Missions and dignitaries. were often the target of harassment incidents and threatening phone calls, from both right and left-wing elements. Moreover, some of these incidents were serious in nature, to include death threats issued against Nelson Mandela, and several incidents of surveillance of Mandela during stopovers in the U.$. The election of President Mandela in the early l99o's resulted in a considerable lessening of tensions, and anti-South African dissent is virtually non-existent in this country today. Dss/ira is aware of no/no significant anti-South African incidents in the U.s. over the past three years.. Similarly, since 1994, there have been no significant demonstrations against visiting South African officials and on buguuerd aie neya sdnoah Yue yo aneme lou/aou st yir/ssd demonstrate during the principal's visit.. The primary threat to Mr. Mandela emanates from right-wing extremist groups or emotionally disturbed persons present in SENSITIVE BUT UNCLASSIFIED v-c: 2006 .3:43 2580 599. 202