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FAGF STX DE FBICG 0O37 SE CKE 1 IN THE CARIS (THE SOUTH AFRICAN MILITARY AND POLICE A FORMIDABLE CESTACLE) THE SOVIETS EMBRACED THE NOTION THAT ANY RESOLUTION OF SHTTLEMENTTHE EARLY 199O RELEASE FROM JAIL OF NELSON MANDELLA WHO HAD BECOME A POLITICAL PERSONALITY OF ALMOST MYTHIC FROPORTIONS) AND THE RECENT ANC AGREEMENT TO SUSPEND GUERILLA ACTIVITIES SEEMS TO JUSTIFY THE MORE RECENT SOVTE POSTIION.SOVIET MOTIVES ONTHE OTHER HAND ALMOST CERTAINLY RELATE TO THAT COUNTRY'S CURRENT ECONOMIC ORJECTIVES AND ITS PRORARLY RELATED DESIRE TO REDUCE FRICTION WITH THE US. ON THE SOUTH AFRICAN ISSUE.(SOVIET MONIES FORMERLY SPENT ON SO- CALLED BLACK LIBERATION MOVEHENTS IN AFRICA COULD OF COURSE HN:HIT :VII TAN ECONOMY IN THE (SSR) IT IS, AT THIS FOINT IN TIME CLEAR THAT ANY LASTING EITI HMENT OF SOUTH AFRICA'S FUTURE WILL INVOLVE NELSON MANDELLA AND THE ANC. ALTHOUGH NOT EQUALLY CLEAR CONSIDERING ITS INFLUENCE IN THE ANC AND THE INCREASINGI.Y POUERFUL BLACK TRADE UNIONS THE SACP WILL ALSO BE A FACTOR IF ONLY INDIRECTLY GIVEN PRESIDENT DE KLERK'S RECENT ATTEMFTS TO HAVE SACP CHAIRMAN JOE 11 $0037 NNNN