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American Friends Service Committee — Part 31
Page 29
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ed to an interview with an official in the Akmo
Agri-
cultural Ministry. From this discussion and from iers in
Moscow, as well as from our own observation in Centra! Asia,
we conclude that the whole vast experiment represents an enor-.
mous gamble. Rainfall is the key to success or failure, and rain-
fall per year averages only a marginal 12 inches. With a weather
break, good crops will be produced, as they were in the first year
(1954) of the experiment, but in a dry year they will fail. Even-
tually enough snow fences may be built and wind breaks planted
to help hold moisture and top soil, but in the meantime it seemed
likely to us that several years of consecutive drought might turn
the whole region into a dust bowi, especially in view of the wind
which seems to sweep constantly across the flat plain. The land
itself is adequate, but we were advised that some fertilizer is.
necessary and is being widely used. No irrigation is attempted,
since the engineering and supply problems are to great for
present Soviet resources, although irrigation is a theoretical
possibility.
It is too early to predict with any certainty the chances of
success without irrigation. All that can be said is that if the
project succeeds, it will make a major contribution to the solu-.
tion of the Soviet farm problem. If it fails, it will be a failure
of vast proportions, carrying with it the hopes and dreams, if
not the lives, of great numbers of Soviet citizens. On the basis
of our own inadequate visit, and bearing in mind the drought
conditions which prevailed in the course of it and may have
inffuenced our view, we are inclined to the opinion that ihe new
lands are not the basic answer to the Soviet agricultural prob-
Iem. Dramatic as is the experiment, we suggest that a more
fundamental answer must be found on the farms of European
Russia, an answer which will result in inereased produetivity
on existing farms, especially in the fertile Ukraine.
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