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black-identity-extremist-bie-intelligence-assessment-august-3-2017 — Part 01
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UNCLASSIFIED//LAW ENFORCEMENT SENSITIVE
(U) Appendix B: Confidence in Assessments and Judgments Based on a Body of
Information
(U) Confidence levels reflect the quality and quantity of the source information supporting
judgment. Consequently, the FBI ascribes high, medium, or low levels of confidence to.
assessments, as follows:
(U) High confidence generally indicates the FBI's judgments are based on high quality
information from multiple sources. High confidence in a judgment does not imply the assessment.
is a fact or a certainty, such judgments might be wrong. While additional reporting and
information sources may change analytical judgments, such changes are most likely to be
refinements and not substantial in nature.
(U) Medium confidence generally means the information is credibly sourced and plausible but
not of sufficient quality or corroborated sufficiently to warrant a higher level of confidence.
Additional reporting or information sources have the potential to increase the FBI's confidence
levels or substantively change analytical judgments.
(U) Low confidence generally means the information's credibility or plausibility is uncertain,
the information is too fragmented or poorly corroborated to make solid analytic inferences, or the
reliability of the sources is questionable. Absent additional reporting or information sources,
analytical judgments should be considered preliminary in nature..
FASINTESNAUSS INLY
UNCLASSIFIED/LAW ENFORCEMENT SENSITIVE-
9
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