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30. Carter to McCone, Cable, 18 September 1962 “coe. Do/! Rom: DIRECTOR D iz, ‘DOP, AD/NE, S/c 2* 1. MO DOUBT THAT CUBAN ECGTOMIC FRSOURCES CAPABLE OF SUBSTARTIAL SATE 85-3, BEFORE USIB TOMORROW, EECOGHIZES THIS AS A PROBAELE SOVIET DRTEHFIGS AND THAT THE OBJECTIVE IS TO STOOLATS COMMINIST POLITICAL ACTION ‘BLSEWHERR IN LATIN AMERICA. AS SOTED I 85-2 (1 AUG), EOWEVER, PRESENT STATE GF CUBAN ECON IS VERY BAD AND SUBSTANTIAL UPTURN WILL BE DELAYED 2. SNTE 85-3 DISCUSSES IN DETATL POSSIBILITY OF IRTRODUCIIGN OF BEBHs XHTO CUBA, BUT JUDGES THIS 70 BE UNLIKELY BECADSE OF HIGK OF U.S. IRTERVENTICH ‘ISVOLVED THES THERE IS A RADICAL CHANGE IN SOVISY POLICY Wor FRESE THDICATRD. SUCH A CHANGE WOULD RAVE IMPLICARIONS XXTISTHENG FAR BEYOHD CURA. WE KNOW FROM OUR EXIEFINGS THAT GOVERNMENT TOP LEVEL HEALTZES POSSIBILITY OF DEVELOPMENTS ABIELDED FROM OUR UETECIION GRE SA-2's OPERATIVE. SIE 85-3 STRESSES THAT THERE 1S A MIDDLE GROUMD Ix WHICH UEFESEIVE GR OFFEESIVE— _ CHARACTER QF BUILDUP IS A MATTER OF INTRRPREYATICN. VARIOUS ALTEREATIVES aces Facies Poe omer, eomoraang ond ‘come + CooromATING oFTICERS ° Ree TE REPRODUCTION BY OTHER THAN THE ISSUING OFFICE IS PROHIBITED. AUTHENTICATING OFFICER Copy No. RELEASING OFFICER