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64. {Continued} an offsetting injury to US interests, This would te trve vhetker ' : tke acticn was Linited to an effort to reutrelize tke strategic tissiles, or these missiles plus airfields, surface-tce-air missile sites, or cruise rissile sites, cr in fect en outright invesicn designed to destroy tke Cestro regine. 10. In reaction to any of the varicus forts cf US acticn, the Soviets weuld te elerced ard egitated, since they have to date estinated that the US wevld rot teke rilitery acticn in the fece of Soviet w s of the denger of nuclear wer. They would reccgnize the USSR, We cust of ccurse reccgnize tke possibility that the’ Soviets, urder pressure to respord, would egain miscalcuiate ard respord in a vay which, threugh a serlea of actions and renctions, could escalate to general war. 11. M the other hand, the Soviets have no public treaty with Cuba and have not acknowledged that Soviet bases are on tke | | { that US oiliteary acticn pesed a cajor challenge to tke prestige of island. This situation provides them with a pretext for treating US military acticn egaizrst Crba as an effeir which dces not directly involve then, erd thereby avoiding tke risks of a strerg resremse. Fe do rot believe that the USGR weuld attack tke US, eitker frea 201