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ADocumentaryHistoryOfTheCubanMissileCrisis1962
Page 345
345 / 354
111. (Continued)
xt within the Special Group further con-
een glven to proposals by che Acting
Intelligence in August and Se mber for lou-
reconnaissance of certain at in Cuba,
roup took up the matter Qn r 14, note
ecretary of Defense did th 12 low
pe vanes teres unsil resul U-2 coverage
able. 4 rious appre-
sion of vai ’ Defense, we
there should
n inrmediacs exari i £ th : , cr low-level
:f (No Low-ley nissi 7 flown over
| Guba until October 23.)
Ke)
TS
Oop
He i 1
bets yO
wo
6
ve)
ereh ys cre
oa
When the
+1
“sy
wy
‘Int allig gence Analysis
. We find the need for improvement of ths processes used in
making naticnal intelligence estimates and the processes used in
maxing current intelligence analyses, and also in the techniques
for relating these ‘two functions, .
served
“by the intel-~
7 Bui idup in
Soviet °
“in Cuba would be
th Soviet policy
as the coumunt ty then 6 n gue tgment, made
.at the very tine when were ir ng NRB?s and IRBMs —
in Cuba, we attribute wien of adequate thee lligence .
coverage of Cuba, (2) ig ith which the view was held that
the £oviet Union would not pasume the ris entailed in establishing
nuclear striking forces on Cuban sori, and (3) he absence of an
imaginative appraisal of the e indicators which, although’
Limited in number, were conta ined in’ report s disseminated by our
ntelligence agencies, (ve reach this conclusion even though we
recon! pre the aysence at the time of any conclusive photographic
intellig mee, ) . ,
4
a)
he President
y the Sreciel: Ne etd or
Ligence ‘community on Septemb
Cube," _mis. estime abe cone Lu
medium
inconsis>
oP
‘Ga
b
=U
“er O
Rel .
ante
9
ve
rt
@ ct a bots
wv
wp
@
In @ tp
3D +e hed ot a &
. The Estimate of Sentember 19 pointed away zrom the likeli-
hood of th
_Cuba, An
Ss
2 establishment cf Soviet nuclear rmissile systems in
important cautionary statement app2cred in a discussion
pavagrapn, nemely, that the contingency of such a development
should be examined carefully, even though it vould mm counter
to current Soviet policy. ‘this cautionary stete SON’ , however,
wes not carried Pomrerd into the contlusions of the =stimate,
& [ind —yh
BOM SHORE,
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