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CIA RDP96 00792r000600310001 7
Page 17
17 / 29
‘CPYRGHT
PUTHOFF AND TARG: PERCEPTUAL CHANNEL FOR INFORMATION TRANSFER
TABLE X
5-Bir Cope FOR ALPHANUMERIC
CHARACTERS
rm
Y
G
W
v
B
)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Favnormenrowwm ann
Note: Alphabet characters listed
in order of decreasing frequency
in English text. See, for example,
A. Sinkov [79]. (The low-fre-
quency letters, X, Z, K, Q, and J,
have been grouped with similar
characters to provide space for
numerics in a 5-bit code.) In
consideration of the uneven dis-
tribution of letter frequencies in
English text, this code is chosen
such that 0 and 1 have equal
probability.
dundancy. One efficient coding scheme for such a channel is
obtained by application of a sequential sampling procedure of
the type used in production-line quality control [80]. The
adaptation of such a procedure to paranormal communication
channels, which we now discuss, was considered first by
Taetzsch [81]. The sequential method gives a rule of proce-
dure for making one of three possible decisions following the
receipt of each bit: accept 1 as the bit being transmitted; reject
1 as the bit being transmitted (i.e., accept 0); or continue
transmission of the bit under consideration. The sequential
sampling procedure differs from fixed-length coding in that
the number of bits required to reach a final decision on a
message bit is not fixed before transmission, but depends on
the results accumulated with each transmission. The principal
advantage of the sequential sampling procedure as compared
with the other methods is that, on the average, fewer bits per
final decision are required for an equivalent degree of
reliability.
Use of the sequential sampling procedure requires the speci-
fication of parameters that are determined on the basis of the
following considerations. Assume that a message bit (0 or 1)
is being transmitted. In the absence of a priori knowledge, we
may assume equal probability (p = 0.5) for the two possibili-
ties (0,1). Therefore, from the standpoint of the receiver, the
probability of correctly identifying the bit being transmitted is
p=0.5 because of chance alone. An operative remote-sensing
channel could then be expected to alter the probability of
correct identification to a value p = 0.5 + W, where the param-
eter W satisfies O<|Y|<0.5. (The quantity may be positive
or negative depending on whether the paranormal channel
results in so-called psi-hitting or psi-missing.) Good psi func-
tioning on a repetitive task has been observed to result in p =
0.12, as reported by Ryzl [31]. Therefore, to indicate the
design procedure, let us assume a baseline psi parameter
[a
Ea
(,
DECISION 1
Accept “1” as
the Bit Being
Transmitted
DECISION 2
Accept “0” as
the Bit Being
Transmitted
“1" TARGET MESSAGE SEQUENCE
40 50 60 70 80
NUMBER OF TRIALS
CUMULATIVE NUMBER OF MATCHES AGAINST
Fig. 18. Enhancement of signal-to-noise ratio by sequential sampling
procedure (p, = 0.4, p, = 0.6, a = 0.01, 8 = 0.01).
The question to be addressed is whether, after repeated
transmission, a given message bit is labeled a ‘‘1” at a low rate
Po commensurate with the hypothesis Ho that the bit in ques-
tion is a “0,” or at a higher rate py commensurate with the
hypothesis H, that the bit in question is indeed a “1.” The
decision-making process requires the specification of four
parameters. ,
Po The probability of labeling incorrectly a “0” message bit
asa ‘1.’ The probability of labeling correctly a ‘‘0”’ as
a “0” is p= 0.5 + W, = 0.6. Therefore, the probability
of labeling incorrectly a “0” asa “1” is 1- p= 0.4 = Do.
The probability of labeling correctly a “1” message bit
asa “1,” is given by p; = 0.5 + Wy = 0.6.
The probability of rejecting a correct identification for
a “0” (Type Terror). We shall take a= 0.01.
The probability of accepting an incorrect identification
for a “1” (Type Il error). We shall take 6 = 0.01.
With the parameters thus specified, the sequential sampling
procedure provides for construction of a decision graph as
shown in Fig. 18. The equations for the upper and lower limit
lines are
2, =41 + SN
2, 740 t SN
1- Po
log
1- py
Pi 1~ Po
log
Po l- Pi
in which S is the slope, N is the number of trials, and d, and
do are the y-axis intercepts. A cumulative record of receiver-
Vp = 0.1 and Bese Ra POP REIHSR BOOHGR/OS 'tin-RDPSE UA PIZRBGOSAdS BEGIN is complied unt either
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