◆ SpookStack

110. (Continued) we) FOP-SEGRET Jet Bombers . 7. We have confidence in our estimate, based On repeated high- and low-altitude photography over Cuba and photography of deck cargo en route to Cuba, that no more than 42 I1-28s were delivered before the quarantine began. Photography of 25 November indi- cates that 20 IL-~28 fuselage crates remained unopened at San Julian air base and "’ some of the remaining 13 which had previously been p-artiaily or fully assem~ bled were being dismantled. Photography indicates that the other nine crates, located at Holguin air- field, were still unopened on 25 November and had been removed to an undetermined location on 27 November. 8, The Soviets could easily ship out all these aircraft by mid~December. Shipping suitable for this purpose is continually available,. and almost any four of the Soviet dry-cargo -vessels in the Cuban trade could carry the entire number. Those still in crates could be moved to ports in a day or two, and the re~ mainder could be disassembled and moved to ports by the agreed date. Other Soviet Forces 9, Other Soviet weapon systems in Cuba include surface-to-air missiles, coastal defense missiles, Komar missile boats, and fighter aircraft. In addition, the equipment for four armored combat groups (including possibly 6~10,000 men) remains on the island. We have no evidence of any preparations in Cuba to withdraw these elements. At least four months and on the order of 100 voyages by Soviet ships were required to move these forces to Cuba, and their removal would require an equally large effort. The SA~2 system and the ar~ mored combat groups are the bulkiest of these elements, and might require several months for return to the USSR.