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ADocumentaryHistoryOfTheCubanMissileCrisis1962
Page 123
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43. (Continued)
SECRET
those few which desire the US to take decisive action against
Cuba would probably consider the announcement as a
disappointingly weak manifestation.
3. The Cubans, or séme other country, would probably
bring the matter before the UN shortly after the announcement,
(They would be virtually certain to do so if a reconnaissance
vehicle were shot down.) Having international Jaw on their
side, they would hope to achieve a UN condemnation of the
US for acts threatening peace. The UN situation would be
complicated, and it is possible that in one way or another :
the US could avert a formal resolution. Nevertheless, it is
highly unlikely that the US would find much support among
the assembled nations, It might find itself, for the first time,
in virtual isolation,
4, The Soviets and the Cubans would probably be
impressed by the evident willingness of the US government
to raise still further the level of tension over Cuba, and to
commit itself to further risks, We do not believe, hdwever,
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