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ADocumentaryHistoryOfTheCubanMissileCrisis1962
Page 125
125 / 354
43. (Continued)
eraaes
create new strains in Soviet-American relations, this
effect would not be so strong or so long-lasting as to
influence basic Soviet choices with respect to Berlin.
6. The Soviets and Cubans would make every effort
to shoot down any reconnaissance vehicle that came over
Cuba. If they succeeded in doing so, the tensions would
be somewhat increased, though the international political
effects of the shootdown would not in themselves be as
great as if it had occurred without the prior Presidential
announcement, The demonstration of military capability
which such an incident would provide would almost certainly
impress many Latin Americans,
Cie than
SHERMAN KENT
Chairman
Board of National Estimates
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