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64. (Continued) PSaLY en offsetting injury to US interests, This would te trve vketker the action was Linited to en effort to neutrelize the strategic tissiles, or these cissiles plus eirfields, surfece-te-air nissile sites, or cruise rissile sites, cr in fect en outright invesicn designed to destroy the Castro regice. 10. In reaction to eny of tke various forts cf US acticn, the Soviets would te elerned and agitated, since they have to date estimated that the US veuld rot take rilitery acticn in tke face of Soviet ~w ss of the denger of nuclear war. They would reccenize thet US military acticn posed a major challenge to tke prestige of the USSR, We rust of ccurse recegnize tke possibility that the’ Soviets, urder pressure to respord, would egain miscaloulate erd xespord in a vay which, threvgh a series of actions and reactions, eoula escalate to general wer. Ll. &% the other hand, the Soviets have no public treaty with Cuba and have not acknowledged that Soviet bases are on the island. This situation provides then with a pretext for treating US military acticn egainst Cuba as an effeir which dces not directly involve thes, end thereby avoiding the risks of a strerg respczse. We Go rot believe that tke USSR would etteck tke US, eltker frez